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Deutsch Intern
  • Chairs and Work Groups
Physical Geography

Univ.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth

Holder of the Professorship of Climatology at the 

Chair of Geography I – Physical Geography

Tel.: +49 931 31-84688
Fax: +49 931 31-85544
E-Mail: heiko.paeth@uni-wuerzburg.de

Institute of Geography and Geology
Am Hubland
97074 Wuerzburg

Campus Hubland South
Geography Building
Room 211

Consultation time

Thursday, 14-16h

Main Research and Research Interests
  • climate change research
  • global and regional climate modeling
  • climate impact research
  • seasonal prediction
  • statistics
  • geo-informatics
Current research projects

Big Data@Geo: Big Data in the field of Geography – Advanced environmental technologies using AI in the Web

funding Europäischer Fond für regionale Entwicklung, Regierung von Unterfranken
duration10/2017 - 09/2021
project bundleEFRE "Investitionen in Wachstum und Beschäftigung" Bayern 2014 – 2020
project leader
secretariat Sophie-Luise Wollrab
project staff
project descriptionshort description;
further information: https://www.efre-bayern.de/fei/
project cooperations
  • Ökonomie der Abtei Münsterschwarzach, Schwarzach am Main
  • Obsthof Zörner, Dettelbach
  • Mustea Quittenanbau – Biolandhof, Untereisenheim
  • Main-Streuobst-Bienen e.G., Margetshöchheim
  • Gartenbau Alfred Hartmann, Mainsondheim
  • Schloss Gut Obbach, Euerbach-Obbach
  • Fürstlich Castell’sches Domänenamt, Castell
  • Forstbetrieb Paul Freiherr von und zu Franckenstein, Ullstadt
  • Forstbetrieb Fürst zu Löwenstein-Wertheim-Rosenberg, Hafenlohr
  • Weingut Thomas Schwab und Martin Schwab GBR, Thüngersheim
  • Weingut Roth, Wiesenbronn
  • Weingut Wirsching, Iphofen
  • Weingut Rudolf Fürst, Bürgstadt am Main
  • Weingut Artur Steinmann, Sommerhausen
  • Bio-Weingut Schloss Saaleck, Hammelburg
contact Univ.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth

Systemic Modelling

fundingHelmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Zentrum für Material- und Küstenforschung GmbH (HZG210/2017)
duration12/2017 - 11/2020
project leader Univ.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth
project staffKatrin Ziegler, M.Sc.
project partnerClimate Service Center Germany (GERICS)
project description
contact (University of Wuerzburg) Univ.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth
contact (GERICS)Dr. Kevin Sieck

"Climate experience Wuerzburg 2018": Influence of urban trees on the microclimate using the example oft the city of Wuerzburg

funding Bayerisches Staatsministerium für Umwelt und Verbraucherschutz (StMUV), München (Teilprojekt 6.2 TKP01KPB-72060 - Klimaerlebnis Würzburg 2018)
duration 05/2017 - 04/2020
project bundle Zentrum Stadtnatur und Klimaanpassung (ZSK)
project leader Univ.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth
project staff Christian Hartmann, M.Sc.
project partner
  • Technische Universität München
  • Lehrstuhl für Strategie und Management der Landschaftsentwicklung (Prof. Dr. Pauleit)
  • Lehrstuhl für Waldwachstumskunde (Prof. Dr. Pretzsch, PD Dr. Rötzer)

MiKlip_Departure II

funding
  • Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF)
  • Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V. (Fördernummer: 01LP1518E)
duration 11/2015 - 10/2018
project coordinator Univ.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth
project staff Dr. Jingmin Li
project partner
  • Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT): Prof. Dr. E. Umbach, Prof. Dr. sc. tech. Dr. hc. H. Hippler
  • Goethe-Universität Frankfurt/Main: Prof. Dr. W. Müller-Esterl
  • Universität zu Köln: Kanzler Dr. J. Neyses
  • Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie: Prof. Dr. J. Marotzke
project description

BioTip-Verbund: Kipppunkte in der Ernährungssicherung in sozial-ökonomischen Systemen West-Afrikas (TelePAtH), Teilprojekt 5: Klima und Landnutzung

funding 
  • Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF)
  • Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V. (Fördernummer: 01LC1712E)
 
duration07/2017 - 05/2018
project coordinator
project staffDr. Michael Thiel

Comparison of Metrics for Probabilistic Climate Change Projections of Mediterranean Precipitation (COMEPRO)

funding Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (PA 1194/10-1)
duration03/2015 - 02/2018
project leader Univ.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth
project staff Christoph Ring, M.Sc.
project partner Prof. Dr. Jucundus Jacobeit, Universität Augsburg
Projektbeschreibungexternal webpage
Concluded research projects

Technologien zur Wassernutzung und Wassereffizienz im Weinanbau

funding

Bayerische Forschungsallianz BayFo, München
Förderung im Rahmen des Bayer. Hochschulförderprogramms zur Anbahnung und Vertiefung internationaler Forschungskooperationen (BayIntAn_UWUE_2016_60)

duration01/2016 - 12/2016
project leaderUniv.Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth

MiKlip_Departure

fundingBundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF; 01LP1129A)
duration09/2011 - 11/2015
project bundle Dekadische Klimavorhersage in der Westafrikanischen Monsunregion und in der Zyklogeneseregion des tropischen Atlantiks. Teilvorhaben 1 (Modul C). 
project coordinatorUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth
project staff Dr. Andreas Paxian
project partner
  • Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT): Prof. Dr. E. Umbach, Prof. Dr. sc. tech. Dr. hc. H. Hippler
  • Goethe-Universität Frankfurt/Main: Prof. Dr. W. Müller-Esterl
  • Universität zu Köln: Kanzler Dr. J. Neyses
  • Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie: Prof. Dr. J. Marotzke

20th- and 21st-century climate changes in western China simulated with a hierarchy of global and regional climate models, including improved scenarios of human activity and reliable observational data for validation (AKSU -TARIM-C

fundingDeutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG; Pa 1149/5-1)
duration07/2010 - 07/2014
accountable for sub-projectUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth
staff of sub-project
  • Dipl.-Geogr. Birgit Mannig
  • Dr. Mark Reyers

Tibetan Plateau: Formation - Climate - Ecosystems (TiP)

fundingDeutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG; Pa 1194/7-1)
duration07/2011 - 07/2014
accountable for sub-projectUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth
staff of sub-projectChristian Steger
project partnerFachbereich Geodynamik der Universität Tübingen, Prof. Dr. Todd Ehlers
project websiteTibetan Plateau: Formation - Climate - Ecosystems (TiP)
description of sub-projectBridging Timescales of Tibetan Plateau Environmental Change: An Integration of Earth System Modeling with Modern and Paleoenvironmental Proxies

Regional research network "Water in Central Asia" (CAWa)

fundingHelmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam, Deutsches GeoForschungszentrum (GFZ), Folgeprojekt
duration01/2012 - 12/2013
contactUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth

Nachhaltige Bewirtschaftung von Flussoaasen entlang des Tarim Flusses in China (SuMaRiO)

fundingHelmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam, Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum GFZ (950032)
duration11/2011 - 12/2012
contactUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth

Dynamisch-statistische Modellierung der klimabedingten Gletschermassenveränderungen in den mittleren Breiten (DYNAMO-KG)

fundingDeutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG; Pa 1149/2-1)
duration05/2008 - 05/2012
project staffDr. Sebastian Mutz
project description
contactUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth

Regional research network "Water in Central Asia" (CAWa)

fundingHelmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam, Deutsches GeoForschungszentrum (GFZ), Folgeprojekt
duration10/2010 - 12/2011
contactUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth

Klimawandel und Extremereignisse im mediterranen Großraum - probabilistische Abschätzung regionaler Klimaänderungen im Mittelmeerraum (KLIWEX-MED)

fundingDeutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG; Pa 1146/3-1)
duration03/2008 - 03/2011
project leaderUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth
project staff
  • Dipl.-Geogr. Andreas Paxian
  • Dipl.-Geogr. Gernot Vogt
project partnerProf. Dr. Jucundus Jacobeit, Institut für Geographie, Universität Augsburg
project description

Regional research network "Water in Central Asia" (CAWa)

fundingHelmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam, Deutsches GeoForschungszentrum (GFZ)
duration12/2008 - 09/2010
contactUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth

West African Savannas, a vast Fire-Managed Landscape Mosaic: new ecological and socio-economic challenges in the faace of climate change and land use intensification (SAFIR)

fundingBayerischen Programm zur Beteiligung an Forschungsvorhaben des Bundes und der EU im Bereich Klimaschutz für die Vorbereitung des Vollantrags für das BMBF-Projekt "SaFir"
duration09/2009 - 12/2009
contactUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth

MedCLIVAR - Mediterranean climate variability and predictability

fundingMedCLIVAR - Mediterranean climate variability and predictability
duration2004 - 2011
project website
contactUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth

AMMA - African monsoon multidisciplinary analysis / Analyses multidisciplinaire de la mousson africaine

fundingEU
duration2003 - 2010
project website
contactUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth

IMPETUS

fundingBundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF)
duration2000 - 2009
project website
contactUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth
Further research

Impacts of climate change on pineapple production in Benin

fundingDeutsches Akademisches Auslandsamt (DAAD)
duration2011 - 2014
project staffHervé Awoye
project partnerUniversität Abomey-Calavi in Benin
project description
contactUniv.-Prof. Dr. Heiko Paeth
Curriculum Vitae

since 2006
Professor for Physical Geography at the Institute of Geography and Geology of the University of Würzburg; research and teaching focusing on climate variability and change, seasonal climate prediction, climate modeling, statistics, geo-informatics; regional foci on Africa, Central Europe, the Mediterranean region and Asia

2005-2006
Associate professor at the Geographical Institute of the University of Bonn

2000-2005
Research associate at the Meteorological Institute of the University of Bonn; habilitation treatise entitled “The climate of tropical and northern Africa – a statistical-dynamical analysis of the key factors in climate variability and the role of human activity in future climate change”

1997-2000
PhD studies in Meteorology with subsidiary subject pedology at the University of Bonn; dissertation entitled “Anthropogene Klimaänderungen auf der Nordhemisphäre und die Rolle der Nordatlantischen Oszillation”

1991-1997
Studies in Geography, Meteorology and Geology at the University of Bonn; diploma thesis entitled “Signalanalyse nordhemisphärischer Schichtmitteltemperaturen nördlich von 55°N im Zeitraum 1949-1994”

Publications

2017

Paeth, H., Steger, C., Li, J., Pollinger, F., Mutz, S.G. and Ehlers, T. (2017): Comparison of Cenozoic surface uplift and glacial-interglacial cycles on Himalaya-Tibet paleo-climate: Insights from a regional climate model. – In: Climate of the Past, under review.

Pollinger, F., Steger, C., Paeth, H. and Ehlers, T. (2017): Modern climatology of the Tibetan Plateau assessed by a high-resolution regional climate model. – In: Earth Planet. Sci Lett., under review.

Paeth, H., Li, J., Müller, W. and Panitz, H.-J. (2017): An effective drift correction for dynamical downscaling of decadal global climate predictions. – In: Climate Dynamics, under review.

Pollinger, F., Ziegler, K. and Paeth, H. (2017): Comparison of the performance of three types of multiple regression for phenology in Bavaria in a dynamical-statisrtical model approach. – In: Erdkunde 71, 271-285.

Paeth, H., Pollinger, F. and Ring, C. (2017): Detection and attribution of multi-variate climate change signals using discriminant analysis and Baysian theorem. – In: J. Climate 30, 7757-7776..

Paeth, H., Pollinger, F., Mächel, H., Figura, C., Wahl, S., Ohlwein, C. and Hense, A. (2017): An efficient model approach for very high resolution orographic precipitation. – In: Qart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., doi:10.1002/qj.3080.

Aich, V., Akhundzadah, N.A., Knuerr, A., Khoshbeen, J., Hattermann, F.O., Paeth, H., Scanlon, A. and Paton, E.N. (2017): Climate change in Afghanistan deduced from reanalysis and CORDEX South Asia simulations. – In: Climate, doi:10.3390/cli5020038..

Ring, C., Pollinger, P, Ott, I., Hertig, E., Jacobeit, J. and Paeth, H. (2017): A comparison of metrics for assessing state-of-the-art climate models and implications for probabilistic projections of climate change. – In: Climate Dynamics, dio:10.1007/s00382-017-3737-3.

Paeth, H. and 12 co-authors (2017): Decadal and multi-year predictability of the West African monsoon and the role of dynamical downscaling. – In: Meteorol. Zeit., doi:10.1127/metz/2017/0811.

Awoye, O.H.R., Pollinger, F. Agbossou, E.K. and Paeth, H. (2017): Dynamical-statistical projections of the climate change impact on agricultural production in Benin by means of a cross-validated linear model combined with Bayesian statistics. – In: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 234, 80-94.


2016


Keupp, L., Pollinger, F. and Paeth, H. (2016): Assessment of future ENSO changes in a CMIP3/CMIP5 multi-model and multi-index framework. – In: Int. J. Climatol., doi:10.1002/joc.4928.

Conrad, C., Schönbrodt-Stitt, S., Löw, F., Sorokin, D. and Paeth, H. (2016): Cropping intensity in the Aral Sea Basin and its dependency from the runoff formation 2000-2012. – In: Remote Sensing 630, doi:10.3390/rs8080630.

Mutz, S., Ehlers, T.A., Li, J., Steger, C., Paeth, H., Werner, M. and Poulsen C.J. (2016): Precipitation d18O over the Himalaya-Tibet orogeny from ECHAM5-wiso simulations: Statistical analysis of temperature, topography and precipitation. – In: J. Geophys. Res, doi:10.1002/2016JD024856.

Li, J., Ehlers, T.A., Mutz, S., Steger. C. Paeth, H., Werner, M. Poulsen, C.J. and Feng, R. (2016): Modern precipitation d18O and trajectory analysis over the Himalaya-Tibet orogeny from ECHAM5-wiso simulations. – In: J. Geophys. Res., 10.1002/2016JD024818.

Paeth, H., Vogt, G., Paxian, A., Hertig, E., Seubert, S. and Jacobeit, J. (2016): Quantifying the evidence of climate change in the light of uncertainty exemplified by the Mediterranean hot spot region. – In: Global Planet. Change, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.201603.003.

Paxian, A., Paeth, H. and 11 co-authors (2016): Bias reduction in decadal predictions of West African monsoon rainfall using regional climate models. - In: J. Geophys. Res, 10.1002/2015JD024143.

2015

Paxian, A., Hertig, E., Seubert, S., Vogt, G., Jacobeit, J. and Paeth, H. (2015): Present-day and future Mediterranean precipitation extremes assessed by different statistical approaches. – In. Climate Dynamics 44, 845-860.

Spiegl, T., Paeth, H. and Frimmel, H.E. (2015): Evaluating all key parameters for the initiation of a Neoproterozoic Snowball Earth with a single Earth system model of intermediate complexity. – In: Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 415, 100-110.

Paeth, H, Müller, M. and Mannig, B. (2015): Global versus local effects on climate change in Asia. – In: Climate Dyn. 45, 2151-2164.

Paeth, H. (2015): Insights from large ensembles with perturbed physics. – Erdkunde 69, 201-216.

Paeth, H., Hetzel, J and Mannig, B. (2015): Uncertainties in the assessment of future temperature and precipitation extremes in Central Europe. – Erdkunde 69, 247-265.

Mutz, S., Paeth, H. and Winkler, S. (2015): Modelling of future mass balance changes of Norwegian glaciers by application of a dynamical-statistical model. – In: Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2663-5.

Ring, C., Mannig, B., Pollinger, F. and Paeth, H. (2015): Uncertainties in the assessment of precipitation in selected regions. – In: Int. J. Climatol., doi:10.1002/joc.4573.

2014

Schmidt, M., Klein, D., Conrad, C., Dech, S. and Paeth, H. (2014): On the relationship between vegetation and climate in tropical and northern Africa. – In: Theoretical and Applied Climatology 115, 341-353.

Seubert, S., Fernández-Montes, S., Philipp, A., Hertig, E., Jacobeit, J., Vogt, G., Paxian, A. and Paeth, H. (2014): Mediterranean climate extremes in synoptic downscaling assessments. – In: Theoretical and Applied Climatology 117, 257-275.

Krause, A., Kloster, S., Wilkenskjeld, S. and Paeth, H. (2014): The sensitivity of global wildfires to simulated past, present, and future lightning frequency. – In: J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci. 119, 312-322.

2013

Reyers, M., Pinto, J.G. and Paeth, H. (2013): Statistical-dynamical downscaling of present day and future precipitation regimes in the Aksu river catchment in Central Asia. – In: Global and Planetary Change 107, 36-49.

Mannig, B., Müller, M., Starke, E., Merkenschlager, C., Mao, W., Zhi, X., Podzun, R. Jacob, D. and Paeth, H. (2013): Dynamical downscaling of climate change in Central Asia. – In: Global and Planetary Change 110, 26-39.

Conrad, C., Rahmann, M., Machwitz, M., Stulina, G., Paeth, H. and Dech, S. (2013): Satellite based calculation of spatially distributed crop water requirements for cotton and wheat cultivation in Fergana Valley, Uzbekistan. – In: Global Planet. Change 110, 88-98.

Ermert, V., Fink, A.H. and Paeth, H. (2013): The potential effect of climate change on malaria transmission in Africa using bias-corrected regionalized climate projections and a simple malaria seasonality model. – In: Climatic Change 120, 741-754.

Paeth, H., Steger, C. and Merkenschlager, C (2013): Climate change – it’s all about probability. – In: Erdkunde 67, 203-222.

Hegner, R. and Paeth, H. (2013): On the shorter-term economic motivation for carbon emissions reductions. – In: Environmental Economics 4, 56-66.

Paxian, A., Hertig, E., Vogt, G., Seubert S., Jacobeit, J. and Paeth, H. (2013): Greenhouse gas related predictability of regional climate model trends in the Mediterranean Area. – In: Int. J. Climatol. 34, 2293-2307.

2012

Samimi, C., Fink. A.H. and Paeth, H. (2012): The 2007 flood in the Sahel: causes, characteristics and its presentation in the media and FEWS NET. – In: Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 12, 313-325.

Paeth, H., Stender, F., Aich, V. and Mächel, H. (2012): Regional climate change and implications for tick activity in Germany. – In: Adv. Sci. Lett. 5, 149-154.

Hertig, E., Paxian, A., Vogt, G., Seubert, S., Paeth, H. and Jacobeit, J. (2012): Statistical and dynamical downscaling assessment of precipitation extremes in the Mediterranean area. – In: Meteorol. Zeit 21,61-77.

Ermert, V., Fink, A.H., Morse, A.P. and Paeth, H. (2012): The impact of regional climate change due to greenhouse forcing and land-use changes on malaria risk in tropical Africa. – In: Environmental Health Perspectives 120, 77-84.

Srivastava, A.K., Gaiser, T., Paeth, H. and Ewert, F. (2012): The impact of climate change on Yam (Dioscorea alata) yield in the savannah zone of West Africa. – In: Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 153, 57-64.

Hertig, E., Seubert, S. Paxian, A., Vogt, G. Paeth, H. and Jacobeit, J. (2012): Changes of total versus extreme precipitation and dry periods until the end oft he 21st century: statistical assessments fort he Mediterranean area. – In: Theor. Appl. Climatol., doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0639-5.

Paeth, H. and Mannig, B. (2012): On the added value of regional climate modelling in climate change assessment. In: Climate Dynamics 41, 1057-1066.

2011

Paeth, H. (2011): Postprocessing of simulated precipitation for impact studies in West Africa – Part I: model output statistics for monthly data. – In: Climate Dynamics 36, 1321-1336.

Paeth, H. and Diederich, M. (2011): Postprocessing of simulated precipitation for impact studies in West Africa – Part II: a weather generator for daily data. – In: Climate Dynamics 36, 1337-1348.

Paeth, H., Lindenberg, J., Kschischo, M. and Hense, A. (2011): How dynamical models can learn from the data. – In: Theor. Appl. Climatol. 104, 221-231.

Gaiser, T., Judex, M., Paeth, H., Hiepe, C. and Igué, A.M. (2011): Future productivity of fallow systems in sub-Saharan Africa: Is the effect of demographic pressure and fallow reduction more significant than climate change? – In: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 151, 1120-1130.

Aich, V., Müller, U., Sieck, K., Jacob, D. and Paeth, H. (2011): Development of wet-bulb temperatures in Germany with special regard to conventional thermal power plants using wet cooling towers. – In: Meteorol. Zeit. 20, 601-614.

Rauh, J. and Paeth, H. (2011): Anthropogener Klimawandel und Weinwirtschaft – Wahrnehmung und Anpassungsmaßnahmen fränkischer Winzer auf den Wandel klimatischer Bedingungen. – In: Berichte z. deutschen Landeskunde 85, 151-177.

Job, H., Becken, S and Paeth, H. (2011): Schutzgebiete, Biodiversität und Tourismus – künftige Herausforderungen. – In: Natur und Landschaft 86, 521-525.

2010

Paeth, H. and Pollinger, F. (2010): Enhanced evidence for changes in extratropical atmospheric circulation. – In: Tellus 62A, 647-660.

Paeth, H. Fink, A., Keis, F., Mächel, H. and Samimi, C. (2010a): Meteorological characteristics and potential causes of the 2007 flood in sub-Saharan Africa. – In: Int. J. Climatol. 31, 1908-1926.

Paeth, H., Hall, N.M., Gaertner, M.A., Dominguez Alonso, M., Moumouni, S., Polcher, J., Ruti, P.M., Fink, A.H., Gosset, M., Lebel, T., Gaye, A.T., Rowell, D.P., Moufouma-Okia, W., Jacob, D., Rockel, B., Giorgi, F. and Rummukainen, M. (2010d): Progress in regional downscaling of West African precipitation. – In: Atmos. Sci. Let. 12, 75-82.

2009

Paeth, H., Born, K., Girmes, R., Podzun, R. and Jacob, D. (2009): Regional climate change in tropical Africa under greenhouse forcing and land-use changes. – In: J. Climate 22, 114-132.

Paeth,. H. and Otto, C. (2009): The population’s view on climate change and mitigation – Inferences for media and policy. – In: Advanced Science Letters 2, 310-318.

2008

Paeth, H.; Scholten, A.; Friederichs, P. and Hense, A. (2008a): Uncertainties in climate change prediction: El Niño-Southern Oscillation and monsoons. – In: Global and Planetary Change 60, 265-288.

Paeth, H.; Rauthe, M. and Min, S.-K.. (2008b): Multi-model Bayesian assessment of climate change in the northern annular mode. – In: Global and Planetary Change 60, 193-206.

Paeth, H., Capo-Chichi, A. and Endlicher, W. (2008c): Climate change and food security in tropical West Africa. – In: Erdkunde 62, 101-115.

Paeth, H. (2008): Understanding the mechanism of land-cover related climate change in the low latitudes. – In: Mausam 59, 297-312.

Born. K., Fink, A. and Paeth, H. (2008): Dry and wet periods in the northwestern Maghreb for present day and future climate conditions. – In. Meteorol. Zeit. 17, 533-551.

2007

Paeth, H. (2007): Human activity and Climate Change in Africa. – In: Brönnimann, S., Luterbacher, J., Ewen., T., Diaz, H.F., Stolarski, R.S. and Neu, U. (Eds.): Climate variability and extremes during the past 100 years. Advances in Global Change Research, Vol. 33, Springer.

Paeth, H. and Thamm, H.-P. (2007): Regional modelling of future African climate including greenhouse warming and land degradation. – In: Climatic Change 83, 401-427.

Pauling, A. and Paeth, H. (2007): On the variability of return periods of European winter precipitation extremes over the last five centuries. – In: Clim. Past 3, 65-76.

2006

Paeth, H. and Feichter, J. (2006): Greenhouse-gas versus aerosol forcing and African climate response. – In: Climate Dynamics 26, 35-54.

Paeth, H. and Hense, A. (2006): On the linear response of tropical African climate to SST changes deduced from regional climate model simulations. – In: Theoretical and Applied Climatology 83, 1-19.

Paeth, H.; Girmes, R.; Menz, G. and Hense, A. (2006): Improving seasonal forecasting in the low latitudes. – In: Monthly Weather Review 134, 1859-1879.

Friederichs, P. and Paeth, H. (2006): Seasonal prediction of African precipitation with ECHAM4-T42 ensemble simulations using a multivariate MOS prediction scheme. In: Climate Dynamics 27, 761-786.

2005

Paeth, H. and Hense, A. (2005): Mean versus extreme climate in the Mediterranean region and its sensitivity to future global warming conditions. – In: Meteorologische Zeitschrift 14, 329-347.

Paeth, H.; Born, K.; Podzun, R. and Jacob, D. (2005): Regional dynamical downscaling over West Africa: Model evaluation and comparison of wet and dry years. – In: Meteorologische Zeitschrift 14, 349-367.

Xoplaki, E.; Luterbacher, J.; Paeth, H.; Dietrich, D.; Steiner, N.; Grosjean, M. and Wanner, H. (2005): Variability and extremes of European spring and autumn land temperatures over the last half millenium. – In: Geophysical Research Letters 32, L15713, DOI 10.1029/2005GL023424.

2004

Paeth, H. and Hense, A. (2004): SST versus climate change signals in West African rainfall: 20th century variations and future projections. – In: Climatic Change 65, 179-208.

Min, S.-K.; Hense, A.; Paeth, H. and Kwon, W.-T. (2004): A Bayesian decision method for climate change signal analysis. – In: Meteorologische Zeitschrift 13, 421-436.

Rauthe, M. and Paeth, H. (2004): Relative importance of Northern Hemisphere circulation modes in predicting regional climate change. – In: Journal of Climate 17, 4180-4189.

Paeth, H. and Stuck, J. (2004): The West African dipole in rainfall and its forcing mechanisms in global and regional climate models. – In: Mausam 55, 561-582.

Rauthe, H.; Hense, A. and Paeth, H. (2004): A model intercomparison study of climate change signals in extratropical circulation. – In: International Journal of Climatology 24, 643-662.

Paeth, H. and Friederichs, P. (2004): Seasonality and time scales in the relationship between global SST and African rainfall. – In: Climate Dynamics 23, 815-837.

Paeth, H. (2004): Key factors in African climate change evaluated by a regional climate model. – In: Erdkunde 58, 290-315.

2003

Paeth, H. and Hense. A. (2003): Seasonal forecast of sub-sahelian rainfall using cross validated model output statistics. – In: Meteorologische Zeitschrift 12, 157-173.

Paeth, H.; Latif, M. and Hense, A. (2003): Global SST influence on 20th century NAO variability. – In: Climate Dynamics 21, 63-75.

2002

Paeth, H.; Hense, A. and Hagenbrock, R. (2002): Comments on “Twentieth-century trends of Arctic precipitation from observational data and a climate model simulation”. – In: Journal of Climate 15, 800-803.

Paeth, H. and Hense, A. (2002): Sensitivity of climate change signals deduced from multi-model Monte Carlo experiments. In: Climate Research 22, 189-204.

2001

Paeth, H.; Friederichs, P. and Hense, A. (2001): Covariability and interaction of North Atlantic sea surface temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation in ECHAM3 greenhouse-gas scenario simulations. – In: Meteorologische Zeitschrift 10, 295-306.

Paeth, H. and Hense, A. (2001): Signal analysis of the atmospheric mean 500/1000 hPa temperature north of 55°N between 1949 and 1994. – In: Climate Dynamics 18, 345-358.

Kim, B.-J.; Paeth, H.; Hense, A.; Oh, J.-H.; Kwon, W.-T. and Cho, C.-H. (2001): Signal analysis of the wintertime 500/1000 hPa mean temperature over the Northeast Asia and North Pacific region using scenario simulations of ECHAM3/LSG. – In: Korean Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 4, 117-120.

1999

Paeth, H.; Hense, A.; Glowienka-Hense, R.; Voss, R. and Cubasch, U. (1999): The North Atlantic Oscillation as an indicator for greenhouse-gas induced regional climate change. – In: Climate Dynamics 15, 953-960.

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  • Head of Bachelor Examination Board for studies in Geography
  • Spokesman of the Africa Centre of the University of Würzburg
  • Member of the Committee for Sustainability of the University of Würzburg

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