Publication in Climatic Change
09/29/2023We have published a new paper entitled "Climate change information tailored to agriculture and forestry in Central Europe, exemplified on the region of Lower Franconia" (Paeth et al. 2023) in the journal Climatic Change. In the paper, various indicators relevant to agriculture and forestry were investigated, such as the occurrence of late frosts, heat days, dry periods and heavy precipitation.
For this purpose, data from the regional climate models of EURO-CORDEX were refined to a resolution of 1 km x 1 km using statistical downscaling in order to obtain spatially specified information for Lower Franconia. It could be shown that heat days and frost nights under the worst case scenario RCP8.5 will occur five and 12 times more frequently, respectively, by the end of the century. In addition, longer and more severe droughts and more intense precipitation events are expected. Furthermore, a lengthening of the growing season takes place, which increases the vulnerability to late frost events. However, viticulture may benefit from higher temperatures and may become possible in higher altitudes in Lower Franconia. The results are published as part of a freely accessible web portal (www.bigdata@geo.de).
Paeth, H., Schönbein, D., Keupp, L., Abel, D., Bangelesa, F., Baumann, M., Büdel, C., Hartmann, C., Kneisel, C., Kobs, K., Krause, J., Krech, M., Pollinger, F., Schäfer, C., Steininger, M., Terhorst, B., Ullmann, T., Wilde, M., Ziegler, K., Zimanowski, B., Baumhauer, R., and Hotho, A. (2023): “Climate change information tailored to agriculture and forestry in Central Europe, exemplified on the region of Lower Franconia”. Climatic Change, 176 (10), 136. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03613-1.
