Paeth, Univ.-Prof. Dr. Heiko

Thursday, 14-16h

Paeth, H. and Pollinger, F. (2021): Spatiotemporal characteristics and underlying processes of past and future global warming. – In: Erdkunde 74, 225-247.

Li, J., Pollinger, P. and Paeth, H. (2020): Comparing the Lasso predictor-selection and regression method with classical approaches of precipitation bias adjustment in decadal climate predictions. – In: Monthly Weather Review 148, 4339-4351.

Ziegler, K., Pollinger, F., Böll, S. and Paeth, H. (2020): Statistical modeling of phenology in Bavaria based on past and future meteorological information. – In: Theoretical and Applied Climatology 140, 1467-1481.

Rahman, M.A., Hartmann, C., Moser-Reischl, A., von Strachwitz, M., Paeth, H., Pretzsch, H., Pauleit, S. and Rötzer, T. (2020): Tree cooling effects and human thermal comfort under constrasting species and sites. – In: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 287, 107947.

Paeth, H. and Pollinger, F. (2019): Changes in mean flow and atmospheric wave activity in the North Atlantic sector. – In: Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 145, 3801-3818.

Ring, C., Polliner, F., Keupp, L., Kaspar-Ott, I., Hertig, E., Jacobeit, J. and Paeth, H. (2019): Effect of diversfied performance metrics and climate model weighting on global and regional trend patterns of precipitation and temperature. – In: Erdkunde 73, 303-322.

Keupp, L., Hertig. E., Kaspar-Ott, I., Pollinger, F., Paeth, H. and Jacobeit, J. (2019): Weighted multi model ensemble projection of extreme precipitation in the Mediterranean region using statistical downscaling. – In: Theor. Appl. Climatol. 138, 1269-1295.

Li, J. Pollinger, F., Panitz, H.-J., Feldmann, H. and Paeth, H. (2019): Bias adjustment for decadal predictions of precipitation in Europe from CCLM. – In: Climate Dynamics 53, 1323-1340.

Kaspar-Ott, I., Hertig, E., Kaspar, S., Pollinger, F., Ring, C., Paeth, H., and Jacobeit, J. (2018): Weights for general circulation models from CMIP3/CMIP5 in a statistical downscaling framework and the impact on future Mediterranean precipitation. – In: International Journal of Climatology 39, 3639-3654.

Paeth, H., Steger, C., Li, J., Pollinger, F., Mutz, S.G. and Ehlers, T. (2018): Comparison of Cenozoic surface uplift and glacial-interglacial cycles on Himalaya-Tibet paleo-climate: Insights from a regional climate model. – In: Global and Planetary Change 177, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.03.005.

Paeth, H., Li, J., Müller, W. and Panitz, H.-J. (2019): An effective drift correction for dynamical downscaling of decadal global climate predictions. – In: Climate Dynamics 52, 1343-1357.

Choudhari, A. Dimri, A.P., and Paeth, H. (2019): Added value of CORDEX-SA experiments in simulating summer monsoon precipitation. – In: International Journal of Climatology 39, 2156-2172.

Hagg, W., Mayr, E., Mannig, B., Reyers, M., Schubert, D., Pinto, J.G., Peters, J., Piezonka, T., Juen, M., Bolch, T., Paeth, H. and Mayer, C. (2018): Future climate change and its impact on runoff generation from the debris-covered Inylcheck glaciers, Central Tian Shan, Kyrgyzstan. – In: Water 10, 1513, doi:10.3390/ w10111513.

Pollinger, F., Ziegler, K. and Paeth, H. (2017): Comparison of the performance of three types of multiple regression for phenology in Bavaria in a dynamical-statistical model approach. – In: Erdkunde 71, 271-285.

Paeth, H., Pollinger, F. and Ring, C. (2017): Detection and attribution of multi-variate climate change signals using discriminant analysis and Baysian theorem. – In: J. Climate 30, 7757-7776.

Paeth, H., Pollinger, F., Mächel, H., Figura, C., Wahl, S., Ohlwein, C. and Hense, A. (2017): An efficient model approach for very high resolution orographic precipitation. – In: Qart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 143, 2221-2234.

Aich, V., Akhundzadah, N.A., Knuerr, A., Khoshbeen, J., Hattermann, F.O., Paeth, H., Scanlon, A. and Paton, E.N. (2017): Climate change in Afghanistan deduced from reanalysis and CORDEX South Asia simulations. – In: Climate 5(2), 1-25, doi:10.3390/cli5020038..

Ring, C., Pollinger, P, Ott, I., Hertig, E., Jacobeit, J. and Paeth, H. (2017): A comparison of metrics for assessing state-of-the-art climate models and implications for probabilistic projections of climate change. – In: Climate Dynamics 50, 2087-2106.

Paeth, H. and 12 co-authors (2017): Decadal and multi-year predictability of the West African monsoon and the role of dynamical downscaling. – In: Meteorol. Zeit. 26, 363-377.

Awoye, O.H.R., Pollinger, F. Agbossou, E.K. and Paeth, H. (2017): Dynamical-statistical projections of the climate change impact on agricultural production in Benin by means of a cross-validated linear model combined with Bayesian statistics. – In: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 234, 80-94.

Li, J., Ehlers, T.A., Werner, M., Mutz, S., Steger, C., and Paeth, H. (2017): Late Quaternary climate, precipitation d18O, and Indian Monsoon variations over the Tibetan Plateau. – In: Earth and Planetary Science Letters 457, 412-422.

Li, J., Ehlers, T.A., Mutz, S., Steger, C., Paeth, H., Werner, M., Poulsen, C.J.; and Feng, R. (2016): Modern precipitation d18O and trajectory analysis over the Himalaya-Tibet Orogen from ECHAM5-wiso simulations. – In: Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 121, 10432-10452.

Keupp, L., Pollinger, F. and Paeth, H. (2016): Assessment of future ENSO changes in a CMIP3/CMIP5 multi-model and multi-index framework. – In: Int. J. Climatol. 37, 3439-3451.

Conrad, C., Schönbrodt-Stitt, S., Löw, F., Sorokin, D. and Paeth, H. (2016): Cropping intensity in the Aral Sea Basin and its dependency from the runoff formation 2000-2012. – In: Remote Sensing 8(630), 1-26.

Mutz, S., Ehlers, T.A., Li, J., Steger, C., Paeth, H., Werner, M. and Poulsen C.J. (2016): Precipitation δ18O over the Himalaya-Tibet orogeny from ECHAM5-wiso simulations: Statistical analysis of temperature, topography and precipitation. – In: J. Geophys. Res. 121, 9278-9300.

Li, J., Ehlers, T.A., Mutz, S., Steger. C., Paeth, H., Werner, M. Poulsen, C.J. and Feng, R. (2016): Modern precipitation δ18O and trajectory analysis over the Himalaya-Tibet orogeny from ECHAM5-wiso simulations. – In: J. Geophys. Res. 121, 10432-10452.

Paeth, H., Vogt, G., Paxian, A., Hertig, E., Seubert, S. and Jacobeit, J. (2016): Quantifying the evidence of climate change in the light of uncertainty exemplified by the Mediterranean hot spot region. – In: Global Planet. Change 151, 144-151.

Paxian, A., Paeth, H. and 11 co-authors (2016): Bias reduction in decadal predictions of West African monsoon rainfall using regional climate models. - In: J. Geophys. Res. 121, 1715-1735.

Paxian, A., Hertig, E., Seubert, S., Vogt, G., Jacobeit, J. and Paeth, H. (2015): Present-day and future Mediterranean precipitation extremes assessed by different statistical approaches. – In. Climate Dynamics 44, 845-860.

Spiegl, T., Paeth, H. and Frimmel, H.E. (2015): Evaluating all key parameters for the initiation of a Neoproterozoic Snowball Earth with a single Earth system model of intermediate complexity. – In: Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 415, 100-110.

Paeth, H., Müller, M. and Mannig, B. (2015): Global versus local effects on climate change in Asia. – In: Climate Dyn. 45, 2151-2164.

Paeth, H. (2015): Insights from large ensembles with perturbed physics. – Erdkunde 69, 201-216.

Paeth, H., Hetzel, J and Mannig, B. (2015): Uncertainties in the assessment of future temperature and precipitation extremes in Central Europe. – Erdkunde 69, 247-265.

Mutz, S., Paeth, H. and Winkler, S. (2015): Modelling of future mass balance changes of Norwegian glaciers by application of a dynamical-statistical model. – In: Climate Dynamics 46, 1581-1597.

Ring, C., Mannig, B., Pollinger, F. and Paeth, H. (2015): Uncertainties in the assessment of precipitation in selected regions. – In: Int. J. Climatol. 36,3521-3538.

Schmidt, M., Klein, D., Conrad, C., Dech, S. and Paeth, H. (2014): On the relationship between vegetation and climate in tropical and northern Africa. – In: Theoretical and Applied Climatology 115, 341-353.

Seubert, S., Fernández-Montes, S., Philipp, A., Hertig, E., Jacobeit, J., Vogt, G., Paxian, A. and Paeth, H. (2014): Mediterranean climate extremes in synoptic downscaling assessments. – In: Theoretical and Applied Climatology 117, 257-275.

Krause, A., Kloster, S., Wilkenskjeld, S. and Paeth, H. (2014): The sensitivity of global wildfires to simulated past, present, and future lightning frequency. – In: J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci. 119, 312-322.

Reyers, M., Pinto, J.G. and Paeth, H. (2013): Statistical-dynamical downscaling of present day and future precipitation regimes in the Aksu river catchment in Central Asia. – In: Global and Planetary Change 107, 36-49.

Mannig, B., Müller, M., Starke, E., Merkenschlager, C., Mao, W., Zhi, X., Podzun, R. Jacob, D. and Paeth, H. (2013): Dynamical downscaling of climate change in Central Asia. – In: Global and Planetary Change 110, 26-39.

Conrad, C., Rahmann, M., Machwitz, M., Stulina, G., Paeth, H. and Dech, S. (2013): Satellite based calculation of spatially distributed crop water requirements for cotton and wheat cultivation in Fergana Valley, Uzbekistan. – In: Global Planet. Change 110, 88-98.

Ermert, V., Fink, A.H. and Paeth, H. (2013): The potential effect of climate change on malaria transmission in Africa using bias-corrected regionalized climate projections and a simple malaria seasonality model. – In: Climatic Change 120, 741-754.

Paeth, H., Steger, C. and Merkenschlager, C (2013): Climate change – it’s all about probability. – In: Erdkunde 67, 203-222.

Hegner, R. and Paeth, H. (2013): On the shorter-term economic motivation for carbon emissions reductions. – In: Environmental Economics 4, 56-66.

Paxian, A., Hertig, E., Vogt, G., Seubert S., Jacobeit, J. and Paeth, H. (2013): Greenhouse gas related predictability of regional climate model trends in the Mediterranean Area. – In: Int. J. Climatol. 34, 2293-2307.

Samimi, C., Fink. A.H. and Paeth, H. (2012): The 2007 flood in the Sahel: causes, characteristics and its presentation in the media and FEWS NET. – In: Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 12, 313-325.

Paeth, H., Stender, F., Aich, V. and Mächel, H. (2012): Regional climate change and implications for tick activity in Germany. – In: Adv. Sci. Lett. 5, 149-154.

Hertig, E., Paxian, A., Vogt, G., Seubert, S., Paeth, H. and Jacobeit, J. (2012): Statistical and dynamical downscaling assessment of precipitation extremes in the Mediterranean area. – In: Meteorol. Zeit 21,61-77.

Ermert, V., Fink, A.H., Morse, A.P. and Paeth, H. (2012): The impact of regional climate change due to greenhouse forcing and land-use changes on malaria risk in tropical Africa. – In: Environmental Health Perspectives 120, 77-84.

Srivastava, A.K., Gaiser, T., Paeth, H. and Ewert, F. (2012): The impact of climate change on Yam (Dioscorea alata) yield in the savannah zone of West Africa. – In: Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 153, 57-64.

Hertig, E., Seubert, S. Paxian, A., Vogt, G., Paeth, H. and Jacobeit, J. (2012): Changes of total versus extreme precipitation and dry periods until the end oft he 21st century: statistical assessments fort he Mediterranean area. – In: Theor. Appl. Climatol., doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0639-5.

Paeth, H. and Mannig, B. (2012): On the added value of regional climate modelling in climate change assessment. In: Climate Dynamics 41, 1057-1066.

Paeth, H. (2011): Postprocessing of simulated precipitation for impact studies in West Africa – Part I: model output statistics for monthly data. – In: Climate Dynamics 36, 1321-1336.

Paeth, H. and Diederich, M. (2011): Postprocessing of simulated precipitation for impact studies in West Africa – Part II: a weather generator for daily data. – In: Climate Dynamics 36, 1337-1348.

Paeth, H., Lindenberg, J., Kschischo, M. and Hense, A. (2011): How dynamical models can learn from the data. – In: Theor. Appl. Climatol. 104, 221-231.

Gaiser, T., Judex, M., Paeth, H., Hiepe, C. and Igué, A.M. (2011): Future productivity of fallow systems in sub-Saharan Africa: Is the effect of demographic pressure and fallow reduction more significant than climate change? – In: Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 151, 1120-1130.

Aich, V., Müller, U., Sieck, K., Jacob, D. and Paeth, H. (2011): Development of wet-bulb temperatures in Germany with special regard to conventional thermal power plants using wet cooling towers. – In: Meteorol. Zeit. 20, 601-614.

Rauh, J. and Paeth, H. (2011): Anthropogener Klimawandel und Weinwirtschaft – Wahrnehmung und Anpassungsmaßnahmen fränkischer Winzer auf den Wandel klimatischer Bedingungen. – In: Berichte z. deutschen Landeskunde 85, 151-177.

Job, H., Becken, S and Paeth, H. (2011): Schutzgebiete, Biodiversität und Tourismus – künftige Herausforderungen. – In: Natur und Landschaft 86, 521-525.

Paeth, H. and Pollinger, F. (2010): Enhanced evidence for changes in extratropical atmospheric circulation. – In: Tellus 62A, 647-660.

Paeth, H., Fink, A., Keis, F., Mächel, H. and Samimi, C. (2010a): Meteorological characteristics and potential causes of the 2007 flood in sub-Saharan Africa. – In: Int. J. Climatol. 31, 1908-1926.

Paeth, H., Hall, N.M., Gaertner, M.A., Dominguez Alonso, M., Moumouni, S., Polcher, J., Ruti, P.M., Fink, A.H., Gosset, M., Lebel, T., Gaye, A.T., Rowell, D.P., Moufouma-Okia, W., Jacob, D., Rockel, B., Giorgi, F. and Rummukainen, M. (2010d): Progress in regional downscaling of West African precipitation. – In: Atmos. Sci. Let. 12, 75-82.

Paeth, H., Born, K., Girmes, R., Podzun, R. and Jacob, D. (2009): Regional climate change in tropical Africa under greenhouse forcing and land-use changes. – In: J. Climate 22, 114-132.

Paeth, H. and Otto, C. (2009): The population’s view on climate change and mitigation – Inferences for media and policy. – In: Advanced Science Letters 2, 310-318.

Paeth, H., Scholten, A.; Friederichs, P. and Hense, A. (2008a): Uncertainties in climate change prediction: El Niño-Southern Oscillation and monsoons. – In: Global and Planetary Change 60, 265-288.

Paeth, H., Rauthe, M. and Min, S.-K.. (2008b): Multi-model Bayesian assessment of climate change in the northern annular mode. – In: Global and Planetary Change 60, 193-206.

Paeth, H., Capo-Chichi, A. and Endlicher, W. (2008c): Climate change and food security in tropical West Africa. – In: Erdkunde 62, 101-115.

Paeth, H. (2008): Understanding the mechanism of land-cover related climate change in the low latitudes. – In: Mausam 59, 297-312.

Born. K., Fink, A. and Paeth, H. (2008): Dry and wet periods in the northwestern Maghreb for present day and future climate conditions. – In. Meteorol. Zeit. 17, 533-551.

Paeth, H. (2007): Human activity and Climate Change in Africa. – In: Brönnimann, S., Luterbacher, J., Ewen., T., Diaz, H.F., Stolarski, R.S. and Neu, U. (Eds.): Climate variability and extremes during the past 100 years. Advances in Global Change Research, Vol. 33, Springer.

Paeth, H. and Thamm, H.-P. (2007): Regional modelling of future African climate including greenhouse warming and land degradation. – In: Climatic Change 83, 401-427.

Pauling, A. and Paeth, H. (2007): On the variability of return periods of European winter precipitation extremes over the last five centuries. – In: Clim. Past 3, 65-76.

Paeth, H. and Feichter, J. (2006): Greenhouse-gas versus aerosol forcing and African climate response. – In: Climate Dynamics 26, 35-54.

Paeth, H. and Hense, A. (2006): On the linear response of tropical African climate to SST changes deduced from regional climate model simulations. – In: Theoretical and Applied Climatology 83, 1-19.

Paeth, H., Girmes, R., Menz, G. and Hense, A. (2006): Improving seasonal forecasting in the low latitudes. – In: Monthly Weather Review 134, 1859-1879.

Friederichs, P. and Paeth, H. (2006): Seasonal prediction of African precipitation with ECHAM4-T42 ensemble simulations using a multivariate MOS prediction scheme. In: Climate Dynamics 27, 761-786.

Paeth, H. and Hense, A. (2005): Mean versus extreme climate in the Mediterranean region and its sensitivity to future global warming conditions. – In: Meteorologische Zeitschrift 14, 329-347.

Paeth, H., Born, K., Podzun, R. and Jacob, D. (2005): Regional dynamical downscaling over West Africa: Model evaluation and comparison of wet and dry years. – In: Meteorologische Zeitschrift 14, 349-367.

Xoplaki, E.; Luterbacher, J.; Paeth, H.; Dietrich, D.; Steiner, N.; Grosjean, M. and Wanner, H. (2005): Variability and extremes of European spring and autumn land temperatures over the last half millenium. – In: Geophysical Research Letters 32, L15713, DOI 10.1029/2005GL023424.

Paeth, H. and Hense, A. (2004): SST versus climate change signals in West African rainfall: 20th century variations and future projections. – In: Climatic Change 65, 179-208.

Min, S.-K.; Hense, A.; Paeth, H. and Kwon, W.-T. (2004): A Bayesian decision method for climate change signal analysis. – In: Meteorologische Zeitschrift 13, 421-436.

Rauthe, M. and Paeth, H. (2004): Relative importance of Northern Hemisphere circulation modes in predicting regional climate change. – In: Journal of Climate 17, 4180-4189.

Paeth, H. and Stuck, J. (2004): The West African dipole in rainfall and its forcing mechanisms in global and regional climate models. – In: Mausam 55, 561-582.

Rauthe, H.; Hense, A. and Paeth, H. (2004): A model intercomparison study of climate change signals in extratropical circulation. – In: International Journal of Climatology 24, 643-662.

Paeth, H. and Friederichs, P. (2004): Seasonality and time scales in the relationship between global SST and African rainfall. – In: Climate Dynamics 23, 815-837.

Paeth, H. (2004): Key factors in African climate change evaluated by a regional climate model. – In: Erdkunde 58, 290-315.

Paeth, H. and Hense. A. (2003): Seasonal forecast of sub-sahelian rainfall using cross validated model output statistics. – In: Meteorologische Zeitschrift 12, 157-173.

Paeth, H.; Latif, M. and Hense, A. (2003): Global SST influence on 20th century NAO variability. – In: Climate Dynamics 21, 63-75.

Paeth, H.; Hense, A. and Hagenbrock, R. (2002): Comments on “Twentieth-century trends of Arctic precipitation from observational data and a climate model simulation”. – In: Journal of Climate 15, 800-803.

Paeth, H. and Hense, A. (2002): Sensitivity of climate change signals deduced from multi-model Monte Carlo experiments. In: Climate Research 22, 189-204.

Paeth, H.; Friederichs, P. and Hense, A. (2001): Covariability and interaction of North Atlantic sea surface temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation in ECHAM3 greenhouse-gas scenario simulations. – In: Meteorologische Zeitschrift 10, 295-306.

Paeth, H. and Hense, A. (2001): Signal analysis of the atmospheric mean 500/1000 hPa temperature north of 55°N between 1949 and 1994. – In: Climate Dynamics 18, 345-358.

Kim, B.-J.; Paeth, H.; Hense, A.; Oh, J.-H.; Kwon, W.-T. and Cho, C.-H. (2001): Signal analysis of the wintertime 500/1000 hPa mean temperature over the Northeast Asia and North Pacific region using scenario simulations of ECHAM3/LSG. – In: Korean Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 4, 117-120.

Paeth, H.; Hense, A.; Glowienka-Hense, R.; Voss, R. and Cubasch, U. (1999): The North Atlantic Oscillation as an indicator for greenhouse-gas induced regional climate change. – In: Climate Dynamics 15, 953-960.